This is a complex scouting formula that I developed that combines stats, advanced stats, size/athleticism, and eye test scouting to give each prospect a number that a)predicts whether that player will be a good/quality NBA player (0 or above), or a possible niche NBA player (below 0), and b)predicts a players two-way impact in the NBA*.
*Note: The player with the highest number isn't always the best player to take #1 overall and so on and so forth because a player with elite scoring potential is rarer than a player with elite defensive potential (i.e. each team has 2-3 defensive stoppers, or what they like to consider premier defensive players, and only 18 players averaged more than 20 ppg during the 2013-2014 season). So to use this formula correctly, after this number is formulated, and it gives you a good idea of who the good/quality NBA players will be out of the draft and which players will have to find a niche to stay in the NBA and be solid/productive players, you should still do more eye test scouting to find the player with the most rare/valuable skills (i.e. elite offensive potential) and draft or mock draft accordingly to what fits your team the best and/or what team needs are. Or just take the best offensive prospect with the highest number in the vicinity.
The eye test scouting part is highly non-debatable. I use a series of questions that I give values (i.e 1-4) to players to use in this part of the formula.
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PLAYER | TOTAL |
G Iman Shumpert | 0.90 |
G Klay Thompson | 0.71 |
G Marshon Brooks*** | 0.43 |
G Kyrie Irving | 0.42 |
G Kemba Walker | 0.34 |
G Jimmy Butler | 0.21 |
G Reggie Jackson | 0.06 |
G Isaiah Thomas | 0.02 |
G Jimmer Fredette | -0.12 |
G E'Twaun Moore | -0.22 |
G Charles Jenkins | -0.33 |
G Norris Cole | -0.42 |
G Diante Garrett | -0.43 |
G Brandon Knight | -0.54 |
G Shelvin Mack | -0.59 |
G Darius Morris | -0.67 |
G David Lighty | -0.68 |
G Alec Burks | -0.75 |
G Nolan Smith | -0.75 |
G Cory Joseph | -0.75 |
G Travis Leslie | -0.83 |
G Demetri McCamey | -0.90 |
G Ben Hansbrough | -1.08 |
G Scotty Hopson | -1.10 |
G Malcolm Lee | -1.30 |
G Josh Selby | -1.53 |
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PLAYER | TOTAL |
F Kawhi Leonard | 0.36 |
F Kenneth Faried | 0.34 |
F Chris Singleton | 0.22 |
F Donatas Motiejunas* | 0.08 |
F Jujuan Johnson | -0.02 |
F Chandler Parsons | -0.16 |
F Tobias Harris | -0.26 |
F Derrick Williams | -0.33 |
F Jordan Hamilton | -0.42 |
F Jan Vesely* | -0.42 |
F Kyle Singler | -0.52 |
F Marcus Morris | -0.54 |
F Trey Thompkins | -0.64 |
F Tristan Thompson | -0.66 |
F Markieff Morris | -0.76 |
F Tyler Honeycutt | -0.76 |
F Jon Leuer | -0.78 |
F Malcolm Thomas | -0.93 |
F Justin Harper | -0.93 |
F Jereme Richmond | -1.66 |
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PLAYER | TOTAL |
C Nikola Vucevic | 0.23 |
C Jonas Valanciunas* | 0.03 |
C Keith Benson | -0.09 |
C Bismack Biyombo* | -0.22 |
C Michael Dunigan | -1.06 |
C Jordan Willams | -1.22 |
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* Player did not attend U.S. college and played in Euroleague, Eurocup, ACB, etc.
**Stats are taken from U19 tournament.
***Player was more than likely red flagged by numerous teams due to injury, off-court issues, etc.
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