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2012 NBA Draft Scouting Formula Rankings

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This is a complex scouting formula that I developed that combines stats, advanced stats, size/athleticism, and eye test scouting to give each prospect a number that a)predicts whether that player will be a good/quality NBA player (0 or above), or a possible niche NBA player (below 0), and b)predicts a players two-way impact in the NBA*.


*Note: The player with the highest number isn't always the best player to take #1 overall and so on and so forth because a player with elite scoring potential is rarer than a player with elite defensive potential (i.e. each team has 2-3 defensive stoppers, or what they like to consider premier defensive players, and only 18 players averaged more than 20 ppg during the 2013-2014 season). So to use this formula correctly, after this number is formulated, and it gives you a good idea of who the good/quality NBA players will be out of the draft and which players will have to find a niche to stay in the NBA and be solid/productive players, you should still do more eye test scouting to find the player with the most rare/valuable skills (i.e. elite offensive potential) and draft or mock draft accordingly to what fits your team the best and/or what team needs are. Or just take the best offensive prospect with the highest number in the vicinity.

The eye test scouting part is highly non-debatable. I use a series of questions that I give values (i.e 1-4) to players to use in this part of the formula.

PLAYERTOTAL
G Dion Waiters 0.62
G Damian Lillard 0.60
G Terrence Ross 0.41
G Jared Cunningham 0.37
G Jeremy Lamb 0.16
G Bradley Beal 0.13
G Tony Wroten 0.10
G Evan Fournier* -0.11
G Will Barton -0.25
G Tyshawn Taylor -0.27
G Orlando Johnson -0.32
G Kim English -0.55
G Austin Rivers -0.67
G Kendall Marshall -0.70
G Marquis Teague -0.95
G Scott Machado -0.96
G John Jenkins -1.05
G Kevin Murphy -1.10
G Darius Johnson Odom -1.38
G Doron Lamb -1.78
PLAYERTOTAL
F Anthony Davis 1.74
F Jae Crowder 0.59
F Terrence Jones 0.58
F Draymond Green 0.58
F Moe Harkless 0.45
F Jared Sullinger 0.32
F John Henson 0.16
F Kris Joseph 0.05
F Andrew Nicholson 0.03
F Royce White*** -0.07
F Jeff Taylor -0.10
F Perry Jones -0.12
F Quincy Acy -0.15
F Arnett Moultrie -0.17
F Thomas Robinson -0.18
F Khris Middleton -0.20
F Michael Kidd-Gilchrist -0.28
F Harrison Barnes -0.33
F Quincy Miller -0.42
F Drew Gordon -0.48
F Kevin Jones -0.55
F JaMichael Green -0.76
F Robbie Hummel -0.83
F Hollis Thompson -0.93
F Mike Scott -1.01
F Darius Miller -1.29
PLAYERTOTAL
C Andre Drummond 0.63
C Tyler Zeller 0.33
C Festus Ezili -0.04
C Bernard James -0.26
C Fab Melo -0.27
C Myers Leonard -0.60
C Miles Plumlee -0.60

* Player did not attend U.S. college and played in Euroleague, Eurocup, ACB, etc.
**Stats are taken from U19 tournament.
***Player was more than likely red flagged by numerous teams due to injury, off-court issues, etc.


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