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2013 NBA Draft Scouting Formula Rankings

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This is a complex scouting formula that I developed that combines stats, advanced stats, size/athleticism, and eye test scouting to give each prospect a number that a)predicts whether that player will be a good/quality NBA player (0 or above), or a possible niche NBA player (below 0), and b)predicts a players two-way impact in the NBA*.

*Note: The player with the highest number isn't always the best player to take #1 overall and so on and so forth because a player with elite scoring potential is rarer than a player with elite defensive potential (i.e. each team has 2-3 defensive stoppers, or what they like to consider premier defensive players, and only 18 players averaged more than 20 ppg during the 2013-2014 season). So to use this formula correctly, after this number is formulated, and it gives you a good idea of who the good/quality NBA players will be out of the draft and which players will have to find a niche to stay in the NBA and be solid/productive players, you should still do more eye test scouting to find the player with the most rare/valuable skills (i.e. elite offensive potential) and draft or mock draft accordingly to what fits your team the best and/or what team needs are. Or just take the best offensive prospect with the highest number in the vicinity.

The eye test scouting part is highly non-debatable. I use a series of questions that I give values (i.e 1-4) to players to use in this part of the formula.

G Michael Carter-Williams 1.05
G Victor Oladipo 0.60
G C.J. McCollum 0.58
G Jamaal Franklin 0.28
G Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 0.25
G Trey Burke 0.18
G Nate Wolters 0.18
G Peyton Siva 0.07
G Isaiah Cannon -0.02
G Ray McCallum -0.03
G Lorenzo Brown -0.04
G Carrick Felix -0.05
G Allen Crabbe -0.22
G Glen Rice -0.25
G Shane Larkin -0.28
G Ben McLemore -0.32
G Myck Kabongo -0.33
G Tim Hardaway Jr. -0.39
G Erick Green -0.60
G Matthew Dellavedova -0.62
G Archie Goodwin -0.65
G Pierre Jackson -0.84
G Shabazz Muhammad -0.92
G Sergey Karasev* -0.96
F Nerlens Noel*** 1.46
F Andre Roberson 0.37
F Otto Porter 0.20
F Tony Mitchell 0.18
F Cody Zeller 0.16
F C.J. Leslie 0.13
F Ryan Kelly -0.07
F James Southerland -0.11
F Anthony Bennett -0.17
F Solomon Hill -0.25
F Trevor Mbakwe -0.45
F Kelly Olynyk -0.53
F Reggie Bullock -0.56
F Sergey Karasev* -0.56
F Tony Snell -0.58
F Grant Jerrett -0.75
F Romero Osby -1.03
F Erik Murphy -1.06
F Deshaun Thomas -1.26
C Gorgui Dieng 0.73
C Steven Adams 0.30
C Alex Len*** 0.17
C Mason Plumlee 0.07
C Mike Muscala -0.13
C Lucas Nogueira* -0.19
C Rudy Gobert* -0.20
C Jeff Withey -0.30
C Colton Iverson -1.00

* Player did not attend U.S. college and played in Euroleague, Eurocup, ACB, etc.
**Stats are taken from U19 tournament.
***Player was more than likely red flagged by numerous teams due to injury, off-court issues, etc.

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