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2014 NBA Draft Scouting Formula Rankings

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This is a complex scouting formula that I developed that combines stats, advanced stats, size/athleticism, and eye test scouting to give each prospect a number that a)predicts whether that player will be a good/quality NBA player (0 or above), or a possible niche NBA player (below 0), and b)predicts a players two-way impact in the NBA*.

*Note: The player with the highest number isn't always the best player to take #1 overall and so on and so forth because a player with elite scoring potential is rarer than a player with elite defensive potential (i.e. each team has 2-3 defensive stoppers, or what they like to consider premier defensive players, and only 18 players averaged more than 20 ppg during the 2013-2014 season). So to use this formula correctly, after this number is formulated, and it gives you a good idea of who the good/quality NBA players will be out of the draft and which players will have to find a niche to stay in the NBA and be solid/productive players, you should still do more eye test scouting to find the player with the most rare/valuable skills (i.e. elite offensive potential) and draft or mock draft accordingly to what fits your team the best and/or what team needs are. Or just take the best offensive prospect with the highest number in the vicinity.

The eye test scouting part is highly non-debatable. I use a series of questions that I give values (i.e 1-4) to players to use in this part of the formula.

G Marcus Smart 1.20
G Dante Exum** 0.75
G Jordan Adams 0.65
G Elfrid Payton 0.60
G Bogdan Bogdanovic* 0.55
G Tyler Ennis 0.53
G Vasilije Micic* 0.47
G Deonte Burton 0.41
G Russ Smith 0.05
G Gary Harris 0.00
G Shabazz Napier -0.05
G Spencer Dinwiddie -0.07
G Jordan McRae -0.09
G Devyn Marble -0.10
G C.J. Wilcox -0.17
G Markel Brown -0.17
G Nemanja Dangubic* -0.43
G James Young -0.44
G Jordan Clarkson -0.47
G Nick Johnson -0.55
G P.J. Hairston -0.60
G Zach Lavine -0.67
G Joe Harris -0.67
G Nik Stauskas -0.92
G Jahii Carson -1.58
G Jabari Brown -1.69
F Andrew Wiggins 0.61
F Jabari Parker 0.57
F Dario Saric* 0.57
F Kyle Anderson 0.50
F T.J. Warren 0.45
F Noah Vonleh 0.41
F K.J. McDaniels 0.30
F Adriene Payne 0.04
F Dwight Powell 0.00
F Melvin Ejim -0.13
F Cleanthony Early -0.17
F Damien Inglis* -0.21
F Mitch McGary -0.23
F Khem Birch -0.28
F James McAdoo -0.31
F Aaron Gordon -0.35
F Josh Huestis -0.43
F DeAndre Daniels -0.45
F Julius Randle -0.47
F Jeremi Grant -0.55
F Jarnell Stokes -0.58
F Doug McDermott -0.61
F Johnny O'Bryant -0.78
F Rodney Hood -1.06
F Glenn Robinson -1.19
C Joel Embiid*** 1.37
C Jusuf Nurkic* 0.54
C Jordan Bachynski 0.00
C Walter Tavares* -0.06
C Clint Capela* -0.70

* Player did not attend U.S. college and played in Euroleague, Eurocup, ACB, etc.
**Stats are taken from U19 tournament.
***Player was more than likely red flagged by numerous teams due to injury, off-court issues, etc.

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