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2015 NBA Draft Scouting Formula Rankings

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This is a complex scouting formula that I developed that combines stats, advanced stats, size/athleticism, and eye test scouting to give each prospect a number that a)predicts whether that player will be a good/quality NBA player (0 or above), or a possible niche NBA player (below 0), and b)predicts a players two-way impact in the NBA*.

*Note: The player with the highest number isn't always the best player to take #1 overall and so on and so forth because a player with elite scoring potential is rarer than a player with elite defensive potential (i.e. each team has 2-3 defensive stoppers, or what they like to consider premier defensive players, and only 18 players averaged more than 20 ppg during the 2013-2014 season). So to use this formula correctly, after this number is formulated, and it gives you a good idea of who the good/quality NBA players will be out of the draft and which players will have to find a niche to stay in the NBA and be solid/productive players, you should still do more eye test scouting to find the player with the most rare/valuable skills (i.e. elite offensive potential) and draft or mock draft accordingly to what fits your team the best and/or what team needs are. Or just take the best offensive prospect with the highest number in the vicinity.

The eye test scouting part is highly non-debatable. I use a series of questions that I give values (i.e 1-4) to players to use in this part of the formula.

SG RJ Hunter 0.93
PG Emmanuel Mudiay* 0.89
PG Delon Wright 0.76
PG D'Angelo Russell 0.75
PG Cameron Payne 0.71
PG Jerian Grant 0.61
PG George De Paula** 0.53
PG Terry Rozier 0.46
SG Rayvonte Rice 0.28
SG Darrun Hilliard 0.11
PG Andrew Harrison 0.05
SG J.P. Tokoto -0.02
PG Tyus Jones -0.12
SG Aaron Harrison -0.18
SG Michael Qualls -0.19
SG Mario Hezonja* -0.31
SG Norman Powell -0.34
SG Bryce Dejean-Jones -0.42
SG Michael Frazier -0.42
SG Dez Wells -0.47
PG Juwan Staten -0.57
SG Joseph Young -0.57
SG Treveon Graham -0.59
SG Rashad Vaughn -0.72
SG Devin Booker -0.93
PF Karl-Anthony Towns 0.84
SF Stanley Johnson 0.77
PF Chris McCullough 0.76
PF Kristaps Porzingis* 0.71
SF Justise Winslow 0.70
PF Bobby Portis 0.61
PF Kevon Looney 0.52
PF Frank Kaminsky 0.51
PF Rakeem Christmas 0.39
SF Kelly Oubre 0.36
PF Jordan Mickey 0.30
SF Justin Anderson 0.28
PF Chistian Wood 0.21
PF Richaun Holmes 0.21
PF Aaron White -0.07
SF Rondae Hollis-Jefferson -0.10
PF Jarell Martin -0.13
PF Branden Dawson -0.21
SF Sam Dekker -0.21
PF Trey Lyles -0.26
PF Montrezl Harrell -0.27
PF Cliff Alexander -0.32
PF Brandon Ashley -0.40
PF Tashawn Thomas -0.53
SF Jonathan Holmes -0.75
PF Chris Walker -0.90
C Jahlil Okafor 0.87
C Karl-Anthony Towns 0.79
C Myles Turner 0.77
C Robert Upshaw*** 0.50
C Willie Cauley-Stein 0.49
C Frank Kaminsky 0.24
C Dakari Johnson -0.08

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* Player did not attend U.S. college and played in Euroleague, Eurocup, ACB, etc.
**Stats are taken from U18 tournament.
***Player was more than likely red flagged by numerous teams due to injury, off-court issues, etc.

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