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2016 NBA Draft Scouting Formula Rankings

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**Starting this year I added age into the formula, mainly if a player is really young. Young freshman were eventually outproducing their rankings, which is the main reason behind this change. I have not changed any of the previous years rankings but basically young freshman would be ranked a little higher.** This is a complex scouting formula that I developed that combines stats, advanced stats, size/athleticism, and eye test scouting to give each prospect a number that a)predicts whether that player will be a good/quality NBA player (0 or above), or a possible niche NBA player (below 0), and b)predicts a players two-way impact in the NBA*.

*Note: The player with the highest number isn't always the best player to take #1 overall and so on and so forth because a player with elite scoring potential is rarer than a player with elite defensive potential (i.e. each team has 2-3 defensive stoppers, or what they like to consider premier defensive players, and only 18 players averaged more than 20 ppg during the 2013-2014 season). So to use this formula correctly, after this number is formulated, and it gives you a good idea of who the good/quality NBA players will be out of the draft and which players will have to find a niche to stay in the NBA and be solid/productive players, you should still do more eye test scouting to find the player with the most rare/valuable skills (i.e. elite offensive potential) and draft or mock draft accordingly to what fits your team the best and/or what team needs are. Or just take the best offensive prospect with the highest number in the vicinity.

The eye test scouting part is highly non-debatable. I use a series of questions that I give values (i.e 1-4) to players to use in this part of the formula.

PG Kris Dunn 1.46
SG Patrick McCaw 0.93
SG Furkan Korkmaz** 0.63
SG Deandre Bembry 0.56
PG/SG Dejounte Murray 0.43
PG Gary Payton II 0.25
PG/SG Jamal Murray 0.12
SG Buddy Hield 0.12
Sg Denzel Valentine 0.10
PG Kay Felder 0.10
SG Timothe Luwawu* 0.06
SG Caris LeVert 0.01
SG Isaiah Whitehead -0.10
PG Tyler Ulis -0.11
PG Marcus Paige -0.12
PG Tim Quarterman -0.22
SG Michael Gbinije -0.24
PG Wade Baldwin -0.27
PG Demetrius Jackson -0.32
SG Malik Beasely -0.34
SG SG Wayne Selden -0.44
SG Malcolm Brogdon -0.49
SG Isaiah Cousins -0.50
PG Yogi Ferrell -0.57
PG Cat Barber -0.59
SG Sheldon McClellan -0.67
PG Isaiah Taylor -1.00
SF Brandon Ingram 1.28
SF/PF Ben Simmons 1.03
SF/PF Marquese Chriss 0.80
SF Taurean Prince 0.54
PF Henry Ellenson 0.49
SF Timothe Luwawu* 0.46
PF Pascal Siakam 0.23
SF Jake Layman 0.18
PF Skal Labissiere 0.15
PF Ben Bentil 0.15
SF Malachi Richardson 0.15
PF Brice Johnson 0.11
PF Robert Carter -0.04
SF/PF Georges Niang -0.06
PF Petr Cornelle* -0.08
PF Jarrod Uthoff -0.18
SF Jaylen Brown -0.22
SF Dorian Finney-Smith -0.22
SF Juan Hernangomez* -0.29
PF Joel Bolomboy -0.63
SF Derrick Jones -0.66
PF Perry Ellis -0.83
C Zhou Qi** 0.63
C Deyonte Davis 0.28
C Diamond Stone 0.11
C Stephen Zimmerman 0.06
C Skal Labissiere 0.05
C Jakob Poeltl 0.03
C Domatas Sabonis -0.16
C Chinanu Onuaku -0.23
C A.J. Hammons -0.24
C Damian Jones -0.43

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*Player did not attend U.S. college and played in Euroleague, Eurocup, ACB, etc.
**Stats are taken from U18/U19 tournament.
***Player was more than likely red flagged by numerous teams due to injury, off-court issues, etc.

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